The rupiah exchange rate traded in
Jakarta on Wednesday morning weakened by 10 points to Rp 13,475 per US dollar,
from Rp 13,465.
NH Korindo Securities Indonesia head
of research Reza Priyambada said in Jakarta on Wednesday that the US currency
had strengthened again after a US economic data release showed better progress
than what the market had expected.
“As a result, the dollar exchange
rate strengthened in the global market, including in Indonesia,” he said as
quoted by Antara.
The US Trade Department records
showed that the value of US manufactured goods being ordered increased by
US$8.7 billion, or 1.8 percent, to $478.5 billion in June, slightly above the
market’s expectation.
On the other side, Reza said, market
players had tended to be pessimistic about national economic growth for the
second quarter of 2015.
The Central Statistics Agency (BPS)
is scheduled to release Indonesia’s gross domestic product (GDP) data on
Wednesday. Finance market players have predicted that the data will still show
an economic slowdown in the second period of this year.
“It seems our chances of an improved
rupiah exchange rate will be small if GDP data results released by BPS show
that Indonesia’s economy is slowing down. This situation will lead market
players to see alternative currencies which are safer so that they can maintain
their asset values,” said Reza.
Samuel Sekuritas economist Rangga
Cipta said the release of GDP data for the second quarter of 2015, which was
expected to be around 4.6 percent, lower than in the previous quarter, would
possibly lead to negative sentiment around the rupiah.
On the other side, he said, a
decline in Indonesia’s consumer confidence index in July could also lead to
negative sentiment because such conditions would reduce market optimism toward
the national economy in the future.
Indonesia’s consumer confidence
index was 109.9 in July, or down by 1.4 points from the previous month.
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